Greetings:
Here are two very recent forums where I had opportunities to reflect on the intersection between China's security and intelligence apparatus and the nationwide lockdown protests:
https://slate.com/podcasts/what-next/2022/12/what-zero-covid-protests-reflect-about-xi-jinping
https://www.spytalk.co/p/do-china-protests-reveal-beijing
As a result of the tragedy in Urumqi, protestors in China are almost certainly motivated by the fear that they themselves might become fire, earthquake, or flood victims should they need to evacuate a locked-down location.
Secondly, if demonstrators did not previously understand the extent to which their mobile phones were miniature spies-in-the-pocket, they certainly do now. That realization could alter the way people in China handle their cellphones. Imaginative ways to circumvent the surveillance system could develop.
Finally, the protests will probably soon be suppressed. But if they continue, the next step could be to call in the People's Armed Police (PAP), which is a different organ of state security than the Public Security Bureaus around the country. The PAP is little understood outside of China - but is an extremely powerful tool with vast resources. They are trained to quickly put down mass civil disturbances with overwhelming force, but to do so without resorting to the June Fourth, 1989 solution of machine-gunning the citizenry in the streets.
Regards,
Matt
Non-resident Fellow, The Jamestown Foundation and Contributing Editor, SpyTalk
San Jose, CaliforniaMobile (Signal enabled): +1-408-891-5187
Encrypted: matt.brazil@hushmail.com
https://www.mattbrazil.net/
https://www.usni.org/press/books/chinese-communist-espionage
Sign up for the research newsletter; find more learning resources at the links below.
Dear Friends: Book Research News My last newsletter was in February - apologies for being quiet for so long. I'm moving forward with chapters for the book on China's state security structure and activities, and will shortly submit a proposal to a publisher. The revised table of contents includes chapters on: Enemies Within (sound familiar?) Taiwan and the United States as main espionage targets The CCP's use of Hong Kong and Macau Operations in Europe and Asia The Cyber Revolution Research...
Advertisement for the 2018 "Anxun Cup" hacking competition, jointly hosted by Sichuan Anxun (iS00N) and Chengdu University. Photo credit: iS00N Update That big data leak of 571 files from the hacker firm iS00N had researchers and journalists salivating for five days - but on the sixth day, GitHub, the platform where it was posted, invoked its terms of service to remove it. The biggest leak of data ever from any Chinese hacking organization was replaced overnight on 21-22 February with this...
This year's most popular poster at the MSS and the CCP Propaganda Department? Maybe only in the gift shop (to view images, enable download) Sino Spies of the Baltic; The Comparative Politics of Spy Trades; Pathbreaking Research from Australia by Alex Joske Sino spies of the Baltic Russian clandestine operations have long targeted the Baltic States and Scandinavia, but lately, the environment has become more crowded. Interviews conducted in Europe since the last newsletter in July highlighted...